AGP Executive Report

Climate Resilience: A visiting Irish reporter is documenting how Somaliland communities are responding to repeated drought and flooding, including drought-resistant seeds, rainwater harvesting, dam building and gully repairs. Concern says the work is also aimed at preparing for El Niño and protecting farmland. Flood Watch: The Shabelle River at Jowhar rose close to moderate flood-risk levels as heavy rain was forecast across parts of Somalia, the Ethiopian highlands and Somaliland. The outlook adds to concerns as the Deyr rainy season gets underway.

Climate Reporting: Irish reporter Lynsey Dolan is in Somaliland documenting how drought and flooding affect communities. With Concern, she is visiting projects using drought-resistant seeds, rainwater harvesting, dams and gully repairs to help farms withstand extreme weather. Flood Outlook: Heavy rain is forecast across Somaliland and parts of Somalia during the Deyr season. The Shabelle River at Jowhar has risen close to moderate flood-risk levels, while forecasters warn of above-normal seasonal rainfall in several river basins.

Climate Resilience: A visiting reporter is documenting how communities in Somaliland are adapting to drought and floods, including planting drought-resistant seeds, harvesting rainwater, repairing gullies and building dams. Concern says it is also helping protect farmland ahead of possible heavy rains. Flood Watch: The Shabelle River near Jowhar has risen close to moderate flood-risk levels, while forecasts call for moderate to heavy rain across much of Somaliland and parts of Somalia and Ethiopia. The outlook adds to concern about flooding during the Deyr rainy season.

Flood Risk: The Shabelle River at Jowhar rose to 4.70 metres, just 30 centimetres below the moderate flood-risk threshold, as heavy rain was forecast across parts of Somaliland, Somalia and the Ethiopian highlands. The Deyr rainy season and elevated seasonal rainfall forecasts have raised concern about flooding in the Juba and Shabelle basins.

Rain and Flood Risks: The Shabelle River at Jowhar rose to 4.70 metres, just below the moderate flood-risk threshold, though its rise has slowed. Forecasts called for moderate to heavy rain across Somaliland and parts of Somalia, with rain in the Ethiopian highlands also feeding the Shabelle and Juba river systems.

Drought and Displacement: Renewed fighting in Tigray comes as drought deepens hardship in a region where about four million people urgently need aid, with damaged livelihoods and difficult relief access compounding the crisis. Deyr Flood Watch: Moderate to heavy rain is forecast across much of Somaliland and the Shabelle basin. At Jowhar, the Shabelle rose to 4.70 metres—30 centimetres below the moderate flood-risk level—as the rainy season begins amid concerns about above-normal rainfall.

Flood Watch: The Shabelle River at Jowhar rose to 4.70 metres on October 10, just 30 centimetres below the moderate flood-risk level. Forecasters also expected moderate to heavy rain across much of Somaliland and the Ethiopian highlands, raising concern as the Deyr rainy season gets underway.

Flood Watch: The Shabelle River at Jowhar has risen to within 30 centimetres of the moderate flood-risk level, while FAO-SWALIM forecasts moderate to heavy rain across much of Somaliland and other parts of Somalia. The outlook adds to concern during the Deyr rainy season, with above-normal rainfall also forecast in the river basins upstream.

Flood and Rainfall Risk: The Shabelle River at Jowhar rose to 4.70 metres, just 30 centimetres below the moderate flood-risk threshold, as heavy rain is forecast across much of Somaliland and other parts of Somalia. FAO warns that above-normal Deyr rainfall is likely in parts of the country, with the Juba and Shabelle basins among areas of concern.

Flood Risk: The Shabelle River at Jowhar rose to 4.70 metres, just 30 centimetres below the moderate flood-risk threshold, as heavy rain is forecast across parts of Somaliland and Somalia. FAO warns that above-normal Deyr-season rainfall could heighten flooding concerns in the Shabelle and Juba basins.

Flood Watch: The Shabelle River at Jowhar has risen 2.22 metres in a week and is now just 30 centimetres below the moderate flood-risk threshold. FAO-SWALIM forecasts moderate to heavy rain across much of Somaliland and other parts of Somalia, with more rain expected in the Ethiopian highlands that feed the country’s main rivers. The warning comes as the Deyr rainy season begins and concerns grow over El Niño-related flooding.

Flood Watch: The Shabelle River at Jowhar has risen to 4.70 metres, just 30 centimetres below the moderate flood-risk threshold. FAO-SWALIM forecasts moderate to heavy rain across much of Somaliland and other parts of Somalia, as well as Ethiopia’s highlands, which feed the country’s main rivers. The outlook heightens concern as the Deyr rainy season begins and above-normal rainfall is possible in the Juba and Shabelle basins.

Horn Security: Reports of 5,000–8,000 Eritrean troops in Tigray and Ethiopia’s demand for their withdrawal raise the risk of wider conflict, adding pressure to a region already competing over land, water and maritime access. Red Sea and Nile: At an October 4 summit, Somalia joined Egypt, Sudan and Eritrea in backing coastal-state authority over Red Sea governance and calling for Nile cooperation based on consultation and avoiding harm to downstream water use. These positions put shared marine and freshwater resources at the center of regional diplomacy.

Water and Coastal Governance: Egypt, Sudan, Eritrea and Somalia’s El Alamein declaration calls for cooperation over the Nile, including prior consultation and avoiding harm to existing water uses. It also says Red Sea governance belongs to coastal states and stresses safe navigation in the Gulf of Aden and Bab el-Mandeb.

Climate Resilience: Somaliland communities facing prolonged drought and flooding are using climate-smart farming, drought-resistant seeds, dam building, gully repairs and rainwater harvesting to protect water supplies and farmland. Concern says it is also helping communities prepare for El Niño as climate pressures intensify.

Regional Water: Egypt, Sudan, Eritrea and Somalia used an October 4 summit to call for Nile cooperation under international law, including consultation and avoiding harm to downstream water use. Climate Resilience: An Irish radio reporter is heading to Somaliland to cover how communities are adapting to drought and flooding, including through drought-resistant seeds, rainwater harvesting, dam work and flood protection.